Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.038429 0.041555 0.044840 0.048554 0.052643 0.057014 0.062048
2025-03-09 0.032977 0.037320 0.042138 0.047902 0.054636 0.062287 0.071685
2025-03-16 0.029111 0.034067 0.039793 0.046939 0.055678 0.066093 0.079557
2025-03-23 0.026477 0.031828 0.038216 0.046469 0.056953 0.069956 0.087518
2025-03-30 0.024400 0.029999 0.036869 0.046013 0.058011 0.073423 0.095056
2025-04-06 0.022473 0.028163 0.035309 0.045065 0.058233 0.075674 0.101007
2025-04-13 0.021424 0.027341 0.034941 0.045574 0.060327 0.080464 0.110724
2025-04-20 0.020316 0.026347 0.034249 0.045551 0.061624 0.084171 0.119130
2025-04-27 0.019557 0.025757 0.034035 0.046130 0.063752 0.089144 0.129757
2025-05-04 0.018598 0.024826 0.033281 0.045869 0.064608 0.092269 0.137771
2025-05-11 0.017763 0.024013 0.032632 0.045695 0.065542 0.095525 0.146208
2025-05-18 0.016950 0.023181 0.031902 0.045337 0.066144 0.098270 0.153996
2025-05-25 0.016281 0.022529 0.031403 0.045303 0.067258 0.101922 0.163684
2025-06-01 0.015484 0.021650 0.030522 0.044630 0.067307 0.103847 0.170564
2025-06-08 0.014687 0.020733 0.029535 0.043728 0.066916 0.104991 0.176126
2025-06-15 0.014073 0.020056 0.028875 0.043293 0.067243 0.107337 0.184040
2025-06-22 0.013507 0.019426 0.028250 0.042873 0.067553 0.109649 0.192070
2025-06-29 0.012871 0.018661 0.027380 0.042001 0.067032 0.110449 0.197244
2025-07-06 0.012591 0.018430 0.027331 0.042470 0.068835 0.115504 0.211207
2025-07-13 0.012217 0.018035 0.027002 0.042448 0.069766 0.119023 0.222410
2025-07-20 0.011986 0.017854 0.027003 0.042980 0.071709 0.124552 0.238306
2025-07-27 0.011605 0.017419 0.026571 0.042740 0.072228 0.127398 0.248785
2025-08-03 0.011261 0.017030 0.026198 0.042580 0.072876 0.130528 0.260181